Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: High , Union City
Tract 34017016400 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,908 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 8.2/10, tract 34017016400 in the Lincoln Harbor area of Union City, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,908 residents. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 61%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,542
Renter share87.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate35.0%
Median income$40,727
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7751, -74.0247 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Harbor scores 8.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
35.0% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,567 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How Lincoln Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 66%Grade C
- 34%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 325Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.6%Peak (2014)
- 82Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.4%Housing insecurity
- 15.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.0%Food insecurity
- 24.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.7%Transit barriers
- 31.7%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor
roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hudson County average of 46.5%. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $40,727, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. SNAP participation runs 24.4% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 325 evictions over 4 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 8.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017016400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017016400?
Census tract 34017016400 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017016400?
Median gross rent is $1,567/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017016400?
35.0% of residents in tract 34017016400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,908.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017016400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 79th, minority 93th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 34017016400 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017016400 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017016400?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 325 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017016400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.32% of renter households, peaking at 8.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017016400 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017016400 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017016400 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017016400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 34% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.8
/ 10 · High
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