Within neighborhood
78
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017016200 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,550 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 7.7/10, tract 34017016200 in the Lincoln Harbor area of Union City, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,550 residents. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 52%
Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,869
Renter share87.3%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$53,574
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7798, -74.0237 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Harbor scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,451 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How Lincoln Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 19%Grade C
- 81%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 427Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.3%Peak (2014)
- 97Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.0%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.6%Food insecurity
- 19.9%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 31.6%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 34.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.3/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Set annual rent against average income of $53,574 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Food insecurity runs 33.6% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Housing insecurity runs 26.0% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.6/10.
41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Hudson County average of 46.5%. The filing record is not thin: 427 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2014 at 10.3% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017016200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017016200?
Census tract 34017016200 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017016200?
Median gross rent is $1,451/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017016200?
14.0% of residents in tract 34017016200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,550.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017016200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 69th, minority 91th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 34017016200 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017016200 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017016200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 427 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017016200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.99% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017016200 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017016200 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017016200 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017016200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 81% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
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