Within neighborhood
53
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
The Shades Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017017600 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,081 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 34017017600 covers part of the The Shades area of Union City, NJ, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,081 residents. Against Hudson County at 46.5%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,194
Renter share85.3%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$47,041
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7600, -74.0410 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Shades scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,521 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How The Shades compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 325Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2014)
- 72Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.1%Housing insecurity
- 15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.1%Food insecurity
- 23.3%SNAP enrollment
- 16.4%Transit barriers
- 33.6%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Shades
The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Food insecurity runs 37.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Set annual rent against average income of $47,041 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Housing insecurity runs 28.1% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.6/10. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 325 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 11.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017017600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017017600?
Census tract 34017017600 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017017600?
Median gross rent is $1,521/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017017600?
15.4% of residents in tract 34017017600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,081.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017017600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 89th, minority 92th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 34017017600 considered part of The Shades?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017017600 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017017600?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 325 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017017600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.93% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017017600 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017017600 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017017600 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017017600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.8
/ 10 · High
Related