Within neighborhood
47
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
The Shades Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017016700 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 1,660 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 34017016700 covers part of the The Shades area of Union City, NJ, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units660
Renter share83.5%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$70,278
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7728, -74.0332 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Shades scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,549 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How The Shades compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 203Total filings over 4 yrs
- 11.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.2%Peak (2014)
- 38Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.3%Housing insecurity
- 12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.9%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.7%Transit barriers
- 27.5%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Shades
This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.3/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 27.5% against 11.3% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 46.5% across Hudson County.
Food insecurity runs 28.9% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 203 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2014 at 15.2% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017016700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017016700?
Census tract 34017016700 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017016700?
Median gross rent is $1,549/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017016700?
21.3% of residents in tract 34017016700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,660.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017016700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 42th, minority 92th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 34017016700 considered part of The Shades?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017016700 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017016700?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 203 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017016700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.42% of renter households, peaking at 15.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017016700 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017016700 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017016700 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017016700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
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