The Shades Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017017500 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,479 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 7.8/10, tract 34017017500 in the The Shades area of Union City, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,479 residents. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7587, -74.0376 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Shades scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow The Shades compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 565Total filings over 4 yrs
- 12.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2014)
- 113Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.1%Food insecurity
- 18.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.4%Transit barriers
- 29.7%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in The Shades
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.3/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Food insecurity runs 32.1% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.2% against 14.2% nationally.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.6/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Hudson County at 46.5%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 565 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 20.0% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 34017017500
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017017500?
What is the average rent in tract 34017017500?
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017017500?
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017017500?
Is tract 34017017500 considered part of The Shades?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017017500?
What share of households in tract 34017017500 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 34017017500 compare to Union City overall?
Was tract 34017017500 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.