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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

The Shades Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 34017017500 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,479 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 34017017500, home to 4,479 residents in the The Shades area of Union City, scores 6.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 93rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,636 monthly, set against $73,783 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 41% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share84.0%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate20.6%
Median income$73,783

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 16 tracts In The Shades
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 18 tracts In Union City
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7587, -74.0376 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Shades scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.6% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,636 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1

How The Shades compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Shades risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 017500Union City: 7.67.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 565Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 12.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.0%Peak (2014)
  • 113Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170175002014: 215 filings (20.02/100 renter HHs)2016: 132 filings (11.29/100 renter HHs)2017: 105 filings (8.98/100 renter HHs)2018: 113 filings (9.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Shades

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017017500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017017500?

Census tract 34017017500 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017017500?

Median gross rent is $1,636/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017017500?

20.6% of residents in tract 34017017500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,479.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017017500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 49th, minority 96th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 34017017500 considered part of The Shades?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017017500 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017017500?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 565 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017017500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.49% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017017500 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017017500 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017017500 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017017500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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