Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Sayerwood South Eviction Risk: Elevated , Old Bridge
Tract 34023007806 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 4,526 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
34023007806 is a census tract in the Sayerwood South area of Old Bridge, NJ. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,526. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,540
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$96,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region
Centroid at 40.4016, -74.3261 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sayerwood South scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,390 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9
How Sayerwood South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 1 yrs
- 13.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.9%Peak (2015)
- 69Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sayerwood South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.3%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sayerwood South
22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Middlesex County average of 44.9%. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 69 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 13.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 13.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $96,500, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,390, close to the Old Bridge average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007806
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007806?
Census tract 34023007806 in the Sayerwood South neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007806?
Median gross rent is $1,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007806?
6.8% of residents in tract 34023007806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,526.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007806?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 26th, minority 54th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007806 considered part of Sayerwood South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007806 fall within Sayerwood South (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007806?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.91% of renter households, peaking at 13.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023007806 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023007806 compare to Old Bridge overall?
Tract 34023007806 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Old Bridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge
Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Whispering Pines
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Creighton Village
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Deer Chase at Oakwoode
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Spring Knolls
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayerwood South
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Trevor Place
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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