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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Sayerwood South Eviction Risk: Lower , Old Bridge

Tract 34023007806 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 4,526 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 34023007806 runs through the Sayerwood South neighborhood of Old Bridge. With 4,526 residents, it scores 6.2/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,390 a month while the average household earns $96,500 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 23% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,540
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$96,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Sayerwood South
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 tracts In Old Bridge
High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#990 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region

Centroid at 40.4016, -74.3261 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sayerwood South scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,390 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9

How Sayerwood South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sayerwood South risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 007806Old Bridge: 7.77.7Old Bridgeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 69Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 13.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.9%Peak (2015)
  • 69Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sayerwood South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sayerwood South

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007806

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007806?

Census tract 34023007806 in the Sayerwood South neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023007806?

Median gross rent is $1,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007806?

6.8% of residents in tract 34023007806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,526.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 26th, minority 54th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 34023007806 considered part of Sayerwood South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007806 fall within Sayerwood South (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007806?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.91% of renter households, peaking at 13.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023007806 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023007806 compare to Old Bridge overall?

Tract 34023007806 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Old Bridge at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge

Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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