Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Sayre Woods Eviction Risk: Elevated , Sayreville

Tract 34023007305 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,426 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 7.1/10, tract 34023007305 in the Sayre Woods area of Sayreville, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9/10.

Risk score

7.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 45% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units1,469

Renter share68.1%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate10.3%

Median income$80,436

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sayreville and the region

Centroid at 40.4595, -74.2906 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sayre Woods scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Sayreville

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.3% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,396 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Sayreville

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Sayreville

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Sayreville

4.5

How Sayre Woods compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

63%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
53%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sayre Woods. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.0%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
24.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sayre Woods

34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Middlesex County average of 44.9%. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Middlesex County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. At $1,396 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Sayreville commands.

That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $80,436.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007305

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007305?

Census tract 34023007305 in the Sayre Woods neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34023007305?

Median gross rent is $1,396/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007305?

10.3% of residents in tract 34023007305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,426.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 70th, minority 66th, housing 53th.

Is tract 34023007305 considered part of Sayre Woods?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007305 fall within Sayre Woods (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 34023007305 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34023007305 compare to Sayreville overall?

Tract 34023007305 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Sayreville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville

Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.