Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Sayre Woods Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sayreville

Tract 34023007305 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,426 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 34023007305, in the Sayre Woods area of Sayreville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,426. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,396 a month against an average household income of $80,436 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 45% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units1,469

Renter share68.1%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate10.3%

Median income$80,436

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sayreville and the region

Centroid at 40.4595, -74.2906 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sayre Woods scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Sayreville

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.3% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,396 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Sayreville

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Sayreville

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Sayreville

4.5

How Sayre Woods compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

63%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
53%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sayre Woods. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.0%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
24.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sayre Woods

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007305

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007305?

Census tract 34023007305 in the Sayre Woods neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34023007305?

Median gross rent is $1,396/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007305?

10.3% of residents in tract 34023007305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,426.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 70th, minority 66th, housing 53th.

Is tract 34023007305 considered part of Sayre Woods?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007305 fall within Sayre Woods (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 34023007305 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34023007305 compare to Sayreville overall?

Tract 34023007305 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Sayreville at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville

Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.