Manitou Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.6/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The voucher gap is 26.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.7/10. 12% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The filing record is not thin: 53 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 10.4% of renter households.

SNAP participation is 6.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. At $2,589 a month, rents sit 11% over what the rest of Beachwood commands. The most recent observed rate, 3.9% in 2018, is well off that peak.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

One tract means one number: 4.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.