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Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Rahway Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34039035800 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,462

Rahway is where census tract 34039035800 sits, home to 3,462 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.6/10. It lands near the 88th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,249 monthly, set against $79,273 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 27% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,414
Renter share47.0%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$79,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Rahway
Elevated
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 120 tracts In Union County
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#870 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#35,899 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rahway and the region

Centroid at 40.5984, -74.2784 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rahway scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rahway
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,249 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.4

How Rahway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rahway risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 035800Rahway: 7.87.8Rahwayparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 268Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 12.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak (2013)
  • 72Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390358002013: 72 filings (11.86/100 renter HHs)2016: 65 filings (12.77/100 renter HHs)2017: 59 filings (11.59/100 renter HHs)2018: 72 filings (14.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rahway

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rahway eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 55% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039035800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039035800?

Census tract 34039035800 in Rahway scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039035800?

Median gross rent is $1,249/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039035800?

5.8% of residents in tract 34039035800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,462.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039035800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 62th, minority 79th, housing 52th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039035800?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 268 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039035800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.59% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039035800 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039035800 compare to Rahway overall?

Tract 34039035800 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Rahway at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039035800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 55% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rahway

Top eight tracts in Rahway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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