Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Rahway Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34039035800 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,462
34039035800 is a census tract in Rahway, NJ. It scores 6.8/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,414
Renter share47.0%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$79,273
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rahway and the region
Centroid at 40.5984, -74.2784 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rahway scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rahway
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,249 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.4
How Rahway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 8%Grade B
- 10%Grade C
- 55%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 268Total filings over 4 yrs
- 12.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2013)
- 72Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.3%Food insecurity
- 11.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 13.2%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rahway
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. At $1,249 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Rahway commands. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10.
The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 268 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 11.9% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters.
It tracks the Union County average of 6.6 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039035800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039035800?
Census tract 34039035800 in Rahway scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039035800?
Median gross rent is $1,249/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039035800?
5.8% of residents in tract 34039035800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,462.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039035800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 62th, minority 79th, housing 52th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039035800?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 268 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039035800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.59% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039035800 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039035800 compare to Rahway overall?
Tract 34039035800 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Rahway at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039035800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 55% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rahway
Top eight tracts in Rahway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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