Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Park Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Roselle
Tract 34039033900 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,312 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
How risky is Park Village in Roselle for landlords? Census tract 34039033900 scores 6.6/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 88% of US census tracts.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,699 a month while the average household earns $104,444 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,340
Renter share62.0%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$104,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roselle and the region
Centroid at 40.6628, -74.2681 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park Village scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roselle
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,699 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
3.8
How Park Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 6%Grade B
- 54%Grade C
- 6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 135Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2018)
- 39Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Park Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.9%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 16.3%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 24.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park Village
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roselle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039033900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039033900?
Census tract 34039033900 in the Park Village neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039033900?
Median gross rent is $1,699/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039033900?
14.6% of residents in tract 34039033900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,312.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039033900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 53th, minority 80th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 34039033900 considered part of Park Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039033900 fall within Park Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039033900?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 135 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039033900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.17% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039033900 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039033900 compare to Roselle overall?
Tract 34039033900 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Roselle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039033900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roselle
Top eight tracts in Roselle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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