Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Park Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Roselle

Tract 34039037200 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,237 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 34039037200 sits in the Park Village area of Cranford, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. Population here is 4,237. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 29% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,035
Renter share50.9%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$102,774

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 11 tracts In Park Village
Elevated
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Roselle
Very High
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 120 tracts In Union County
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#849 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roselle and the region

Centroid at 40.6550, -74.2976 · click any tract to drill in

Why Park Village scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roselle
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,186 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
4.4

How Park Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Park Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.4This tracttract 0372006.6Roselleparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 32Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 0.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2013)
  • 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34039037200
Filings dropped 58% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Park Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Park Village

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 4.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 32 evictions over 4 years of observation. Average gross rent is $2,186, 11% below the Cranford average.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 1.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039037200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039037200?

Census tract 34039037200 in the Park Village neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039037200?

Median gross rent is $2,186/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039037200?

5.2% of residents in tract 34039037200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,237.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039037200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 34th, minority 31th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 34039037200 considered part of Park Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039037200 fall within Park Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039037200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039037200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.83% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34039037200 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34039037200 compare to Roselle overall?

Tract 34039037200 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Roselle at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34039037200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roselle

Top eight tracts in Roselle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related