Within neighborhood
90
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Park Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Roselle
Tract 34039034000 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,441 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
34039034000 is a census tract in the Park Village area of Roselle, NJ. It scores 7/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,176
Renter share65.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$71,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roselle and the region
Centroid at 40.6585, -74.2653 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park Village scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roselle
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,635 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
6.1
How Park Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 31%Grade B
- 54%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 723Total filings over 4 yrs
- 13.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.8%Peak (2013)
- 157Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Park Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.0%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.5%Food insecurity
- 15.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 18.7%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park Village
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against Union County at 44.6%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Court records carry 723 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Housing insecurity runs 22.0% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.7% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2013 at 13.8% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 13.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039034000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039034000?
Census tract 34039034000 in the Park Village neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039034000?
Median gross rent is $1,635/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039034000?
5.7% of residents in tract 34039034000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,441.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039034000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 82th, minority 88th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 34039034000 considered part of Park Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039034000 fall within Park Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039034000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 723 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039034000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.67% of renter households, peaking at 13.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039034000 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039034000 compare to Roselle overall?
Tract 34039034000 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Roselle at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039034000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roselle
Top eight tracts in Roselle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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