Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Park Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Roselle
Tract 34039036100 · Union County, NJ · pop 1,518 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 6.9/10, tract 34039036100 in the Park Village area of Union County, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,518. Against Union County at 44.6%, roughly one in four of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 56%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units769
Renter share75.0%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$62,275
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roselle and the region
Centroid at 40.6349, -74.2898 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park Village scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roselle
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,088 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
5.0
How Park Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 12%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Park Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park Village
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Union County average of 6.6 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039036100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039036100?
Census tract 34039036100 in the Park Village neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039036100?
Median gross rent is $1,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039036100?
7.2% of residents in tract 34039036100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,518.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039036100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 16th, minority 25th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 34039036100 considered part of Park Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039036100 fall within Park Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039036100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039036100 compare to Roselle overall?
Tract 34039036100 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Roselle at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039036100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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