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Afton, New York eviction risk overview
City brief · 1,225 residents

Afton, NY Eviction Risk: HIGH

Chenango County · Population 1,225

In 2026
Risk score
8.2
HIGH

68th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.8 Average5.3 Now8.2
9.7 2.8 1976 · score 3.0 1977 · score 2.9 1978 · score 2.9 1979 · score 2.9 1980 · score 2.9 1981 · score 2.9 1982 · score 3.0 1983 · score 3.0 1984 · score 2.9 1985 · score 2.9 1986 · score 2.9 1987 · score 2.8 1988 · score 3.1 1989 · score 3.2 1990 · score 3.3 1991 · score 3.5 1992 · score 4.1 1993 · score 4.1 1994 · score 4.1 1995 · score 4.1 1996 · score 4.7 1997 · score 4.8 1998 · score 4.8 1999 · score 4.9 2000 · score 5.1 2001 · score 5.2 2002 · score 5.4 2003 · score 5.5 2004 · score 5.4 2005 · score 5.4 2006 · score 5.4 2007 · score 5.5 2008 · score 6.1 2009 · score 6.4 2010 · score 6.5 2011 · score 6.6 2012 · score 6.7 2013 · score 6.7 2014 · score 6.8 2015 · score 6.8 2016 · score 6.9 2017 · score 7.0 2018 · score 7.0 2019 · score 8.0 2020 · score 9.7 2021 · score 9.2 2022 · score 8.4 2023 · score 8.0 2024 · score 8.7 2025 · score 8.3 2026 · score 8.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.5 Regional 4.5 State 7.3 Economic 8.5 Supply 5.8 Rent Control 7.8 Eviction 6.8 Tenant 8.1 Housing 7.6 8.2 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +27.2% (2024)
    4.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.5
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    17.9% poverty · 16.2% unemp.
    8.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $800 average · 40.6% renters
    5.8
  6. Rent Control risk
    33.5% of income on rent
    7.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    363 days filing → judgment
    6.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    40.6% renters
    8.1
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across Afton and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Afton compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Chenango County
High
#3 of 11 cities
Rank in county, 80th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 11 cities in Chenango County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
Elevated
#407 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 68th percentileLowHigh
#407 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Afton risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Afton: 8.28.2AftonThis cityCounty: 8.28.2Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.2
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 8.2/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 363d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $800/mo. A contested eviction takes 363 days and costs $20,346–$36,560 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 40.6%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,225 residents, 40.6% rent. 34% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 17.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.5 and 4.5 (GOP margin +27.2% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.8, housing court bias 7.6, rent-control risk 7.8. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 8.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 8.5. Supply constraint: 5.8. The numbers behind those: 17.9% poverty, 16.2% unemployment, 34% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Afton sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Syracuse, NY · 383d · ~$30.9k all-in ($81/day) · score 8.7 Syracuse Albany, NY · 431d · ~$28.5k all-in ($66/day) · score 9.8 Albany New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Cheektowaga, NY · 374d · ~$26.9k all-in ($72/day) · score 7.9 Cheektowaga Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Schenectady, NY · 420d · ~$26.0k all-in ($62/day) · score 8.7 Schenectady Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Afton
Afton · 363d · ~$28.5k all-in ($78/day) · score 8.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Afton, NY

Landlording in Afton, New York, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.2/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Afton is a city of 1,225 residents where 40.6% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 33.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $800/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Afton eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.8/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Afton closes 363 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Afton's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Afton runs $20,346 to $36,560 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 363 days of typical timeline and $800/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.1/10 in Afton, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Afton: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $36,560 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Afton

Trap · 17.9%
Local poverty rate is 17.9%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward higher volume in Chenango County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 8.2/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the rental concentration corridors.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my Afton tenant just disappears?

If your tenant abandons the property, you still have to follow proper legal procedures. You can't just change the locks. You generally need to send an abandonment notice and wait a specified period (often 30 days in New York) before you can legally take possession. Document everything: photos of an empty unit, lack of utilities, no response to notices. Consult your attorney to ensure you don't illegally evict an absent tenant.
Q2

Can I raise the rent in Afton?

Yes, Afton does not have rent control. New York has statewide rent control rules that apply to specific cities and counties, primarily NYC and surrounding areas, but not Afton. You can raise the rent, but you must provide proper notice, typically 30, 60, or 90 days depending on the length of tenancy and the percentage of the increase. Always check your lease agreement for specific notice requirements.
Q3

What if my tenant claims a maintenance issue to avoid paying rent?

Tenants in New York have a right to a habitable living space. If there's a legitimate maintenance issue, you are obligated to fix it promptly. If a tenant withholds rent due to an unaddressed repair, they might have a defense in court. Respond to all repair requests in writing and fix issues quickly. Document all repairs. If the claim is frivolous, your documentation will support your case.
Q4

Can I screen out tenants with a criminal record in Afton?

You can screen for criminal history, but be cautious. Blanket bans on anyone with a criminal record can be seen as discriminatory under fair housing laws, especially if not directly related to tenancy or property safety. Focus on convictions, especially for crimes that pose a direct threat to property or other tenants. Consult an attorney if you're unsure about your screening policy.
Q5

How do New York's tenant protections impact me in Afton?

New York has some of the strongest tenant protections in the country. This means stricter rules around notices, security deposits, and eviction procedures. Source-of-income protection is statewide, meaning you can't refuse a tenant because they use a housing voucher. The court system often favors tenants, leading to longer, more complex evictions. You must be hyper-vigilant about legal compliance. For more details, see our New York tenant protections guide.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.2/10 places Afton in the 68th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.