Kaisertown Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $845, 19% below the Buffalo average.

SNAP participation runs 23.0% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.