West Village Eviction Risk: High

The poverty rate is 38%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Cost burden runs 40% against 31.4% citywide, putting West Village 9.0% over its own city. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The dominant input is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Average gross rent is $797, 24% below the Buffalo average of $1,046.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. SNAP participation is 27.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

14.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Buffalo, it ranks #10 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Theatre District and Allentown score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.