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Neighborhood · Buffalo, NY

Fruit Belt Eviction Risk: High

8 census tracts · pop 17,287 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.3/10 · range 9.3–9.3

Fruit Belt is a 8-tract neighborhood of Buffalo, NY, population 17,287. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 9.3/10, High tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 31.4% citywide, putting Fruit Belt 25.8% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 37%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Set annual rent against average household income of $21,313 and the ratio lands at 50%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

24.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 33.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 8.4/10.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $881, 16% below the Buffalo average of $1,046. That places it #1 of 21 neighborhoods in Buffalo.

The closest comparables inside the same city are East Side and Lower West Side.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.3
High
8 tracts · population-weighted
Fruit Belt vs Buffalo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.2% +82%
Buffalo: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$881 -16%
Buffalo: $1,046
Average HH income
$21,313 -56%
Buffalo: $48,050
Poverty rate
37.8% +38%
Buffalo: 27.4%
Renter share
52.2% -8%
Buffalo: 57.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fruit Belt and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 9.3–9.3

Why Fruit Belt scores 9.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
37.8% below poverty line · Range 4.8–10.0 across tracts
8.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.0 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Fruit Belt vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fruit Belt score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.3Fruit BeltNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Fruit Belt?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 9.3 to 9.3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Fruit Belt

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36029003302 9.3 3,172 46% $869
36029016600 9.3 2,775 56% $861
36029003100 9.3 2,270 40% $911
36029002704 9.3 2,197 82% $1,059
36029003502 9.3 1,977 58% $841
36029016801 9.3 1,889 60% $895
36029002703 9.3 1,504 57% $682
36029003501 9.3 1,503 67% $877
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 93%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fruit Belt

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fruit Belt

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fruit Belt?

Fruit Belt scores 9.3/10 (High tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fruit Belt compare to Buffalo overall?

Fruit Belt scores 1.4 points higher than Buffalo overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $881 vs $1,046.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fruit Belt?

Average gross rent in Fruit Belt is $881/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fruit Belt residents are renters?

52% of Fruit Belt households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 17,287 residents.
Q5

Is Fruit Belt a high social-vulnerability area?

Fruit Belt sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Fruit Belt have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Fruit Belt is census tract 36029003302 (score 9.3/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.3 to 9.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Fruit Belt for landlords?

Fruit Belt carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.3/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Fruit Belt?

Fruit Belt has 16,961 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (58.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.7%), Hispanic / Latino (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fruit Belt

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fruit Belt.

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