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Neighborhood · Buffalo, NY

Lower West Side Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 7,192 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.9/10 · range 8.7–9.2

Lower West Side is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Buffalo with 3 census tracts and a population of 7,192 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 8.9/10 (High tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $938/month sits 10% lower than the Buffalo citywide average ($1,046).

Risk score
8.9
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lower West Side vs Buffalo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.0% +69%
Buffalo: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$938 -10%
Buffalo: $1,046
Average HH income
$24,903 -48%
Buffalo: $48,050
Poverty rate
51.5% +88%
Buffalo: 27.4%
Renter share
87.2% +53%
Buffalo: 57.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower West Side and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8.7–9.2

Why Lower West Side scores 8.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
87% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
51.5% below poverty line · Range 9.3–10.0 across tracts
9.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–4.6 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Lower West Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower West Side score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lower West Side: 8.98.9Lower West SideNeighborhoodParent city: 9.49.4Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lower West Side?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.5 points from 8.7 to 9.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Lower West Side

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36029007104 9.2 3,142 54% $806
36029007103 8.8 1,608 60% $913
36029006904 8.7 2,442 47% $1,125
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 94

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 86%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower West Side

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower West Side

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower West Side?

Lower West Side scores 8.9/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower West Side compare to Buffalo overall?

Lower West Side scores 0.5 points lower than Buffalo overall (9.4/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $938 vs $1,046.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower West Side?

Average gross rent in Lower West Side is $938/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower West Side residents are renters?

87% of Lower West Side households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 7,192 residents.
Q5

Is Lower West Side a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower West Side sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lower West Side have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower West Side is census tract 36029007104 (score 9.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.7 to 9.2, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Lower West Side for landlords?

Lower West Side carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (9.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower West Side?

Lower West Side has 6,954 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower West Side

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower West Side.

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