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Neighborhood · Buffalo, NY

East Side Eviction Risk: High

8 census tracts · pop 21,349 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.7/10 · range 8.1–9.1

East Side is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Buffalo with 8 census tracts and a population of 21,349 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 8.7/10 (High tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,031/month sits 1% lower than the Buffalo citywide average ($1,046).

Risk score
8.7
High
8 tracts · population-weighted
East Side vs Buffalo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.6% +68%
Buffalo: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,031 -1%
Buffalo: $1,046
Average HH income
$38,666 -20%
Buffalo: $48,050
Poverty rate
37.2% +36%
Buffalo: 27.4%
Renter share
58.2% +2%
Buffalo: 57.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Side and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 8.1–9.1

Why East Side scores 8.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
37.2% below poverty line · Range 5.1–10.0 across tracts
8.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–4.4 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

East Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Side score vs. parent city, state, U.S.East Side: 8.78.7East SideNeighborhoodParent city: 9.49.4Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in East Side?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 8.1 to 9.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in East Side

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36029003800 9.1 3,398 36% $951
36029003000 9 2,992 51% $981
36029002801 9 1,686 51% $1,092
36029003600 8.9 2,859 67% $1,006
36029002900 8.8 2,314 51% $1,109
36029002802 8.7 1,070 73% $939
36029003700 8.4 4,202 52% $1,078
36029003400 8.1 2,828 56% $1,069
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 90%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in East Side

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About East Side

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Side?

East Side scores 8.7/10 (High tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Side compare to Buffalo overall?

East Side scores 0.7 points lower than Buffalo overall (9.4/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,031 vs $1,046.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Side?

Average gross rent in East Side is $1,031/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Side residents are renters?

58% of East Side households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 21,349 residents.
Q5

Is East Side a high social-vulnerability area?

East Side sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in East Side have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in East Side is census tract 36029003800 (score 9.1/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.1 to 9.1, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is East Side for landlords?

East Side carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.7/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (9.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of East Side?

East Side has 22,144 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (63.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.5%), Hispanic / Latino (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Side

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Side.

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