2 census tracts · pop 3,928 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.5/10
· range 8–9
Theatre District is a black-white neighborhood in Buffalo with 2 census tracts and a population of 3,928 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 8.5/10 (High tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 50% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $985/month sits 6% lower than the Buffalo citywide average ($1,046).
Risk score
8.5
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Theatre District vs BuffaloHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Theatre District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
24.3%Housing insecurity
17.2%Utility shutoff threat
29.1%Food insecurity
30.4%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
29.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Theatre District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Theatre District?
Theatre District scores 8.5/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Theatre District compare to Buffalo overall?
Theatre District scores 0.9 points lower than Buffalo overall (9.4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $985 vs $1,046.
Q3
What is the average rent in Theatre District?
Average gross rent in Theatre District is $985/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Theatre District residents are renters?
79% of Theatre District households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 3,928 residents.
Q5
Is Theatre District a high social-vulnerability area?
Theatre District sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Theatre District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Theatre District is census tract 36029002502 (score 9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8 to 9, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Theatre District for landlords?
Theatre District carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (9.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Theatre District?
Theatre District has 3,920 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (47.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.2%), Hispanic / Latino (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
