2 census tracts · pop 3,928 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.2/10
· range 9.2–9.3
Theatre District is a 2-tract neighborhood of Buffalo, NY and houses 3,928 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.2/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs about half against 31.4% citywide, putting Theatre District 18.7% over its own city.
The poverty rate is 35%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is a renter market: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
What pushes the score up most is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. On the high side is economic stress at 8/10.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.
Food insecurity affects 29.5% of adults, 11.7 points above the national rate. Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Buffalo, it ranks #10 by risk, the middle third.
The closest comparables inside the same city are East Side and Lower West Side. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.2
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Theatre District vs BuffaloHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Theatre District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
24.3%Housing insecurity
17.2%Utility shutoff threat
29.1%Food insecurity
30.4%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
29.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Theatre District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Theatre District?
Theatre District scores 9.2/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Theatre District compare to Buffalo overall?
Theatre District scores 1.3 points higher than Buffalo overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $985 vs $1,046.
Q3
What is the average rent in Theatre District?
Average gross rent in Theatre District is $985/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Theatre District residents are renters?
79% of Theatre District households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 3,928 residents.
Q5
Is Theatre District a high social-vulnerability area?
Theatre District sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Theatre District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Theatre District is census tract 36029002502 (score 9.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.2 to 9.3, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Theatre District for landlords?
Theatre District carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Theatre District?
Theatre District has 3,920 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (47.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.2%), Hispanic / Latino (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
