5 census tracts · pop 8,812 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.3/10
· range 9.3–9.3
Larkinville takes in 5 census tracts of Buffalo, NY, population 8,812. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.3/10, placing it in the High tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Buffalo rate of 31.4%.
SNAP participation is 50.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 34.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is a renter market: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. On the high side is economic stress at 7.8/10. At $851 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Buffalo commands.
Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Buffalo, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
The closest comparables inside the same city are East Side and Lower West Side.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
9.3
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
Larkinville vs BuffaloHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Larkinville
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
31.9%Housing insecurity
23.8%Utility shutoff threat
40.8%Food insecurity
44.7%SNAP enrollment
12.1%No health insurance
37.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Larkinville
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Larkinville?
Larkinville scores 9.3/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Larkinville compare to Buffalo overall?
Larkinville scores 1.4 points higher than Buffalo overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $851 vs $1,046.
Q3
What is the average rent in Larkinville?
Average gross rent in Larkinville is $851/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Larkinville residents are renters?
68% of Larkinville households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 8,812 residents.
Q5
Is Larkinville a high social-vulnerability area?
Larkinville sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Larkinville have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Larkinville is census tract 36029016400 (score 9.3/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.3 to 9.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Larkinville for landlords?
Larkinville carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.3/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Larkinville?
Larkinville has 9,047 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (50.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (22.2%), Hispanic / Latino (16.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
