2 census tracts · pop 4,278 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.4/10
· range 9.4–9.5
South Wedge takes in 2 census tracts of Rochester, NY, population 4,278. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.4/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 32.0% citywide, putting South Wedge 21.5% over its own city.
29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.
On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10.
At $1,013 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Rochester commands. Among the 36 mapped neighborhoods of Rochester, it ranks #21 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Lyell-Otis and Mayor's Heights.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $44,873.
With little internal variation, 9.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.4
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Wedge vs RochesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Wedge
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.9%Housing insecurity
12.2%Utility shutoff threat
20.5%Food insecurity
21.2%SNAP enrollment
7.7%No health insurance
28.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About South Wedge
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South Wedge?
South Wedge scores 9.4/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South Wedge compare to Rochester overall?
South Wedge scores 1.3 points higher than Rochester overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,013 vs $1,081.
Q3
What is the average rent in South Wedge?
Average gross rent in South Wedge is $1,013/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South Wedge residents are renters?
84% of South Wedge households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 4,278 residents.
Q5
Is South Wedge a high social-vulnerability area?
South Wedge sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in South Wedge have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in South Wedge is census tract 36055003200 (score 9.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.4 to 9.5, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7
How safe is South Wedge for landlords?
South Wedge carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of South Wedge?
South Wedge has 4,107 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.2%), Hispanic / Latino (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
