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New Cassel, New York eviction risk overview
City brief · 14,551 residents

New Cassel, NY Eviction Risk: HIGH

Nassau County · Population 14,551

In 2026
Risk score
8.1
HIGH

61th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.8 Average5.2 Now8.1
9.5 2.8 1976 · score 3.1 1977 · score 3.1 1978 · score 3.0 1979 · score 3.0 1980 · score 3.0 1981 · score 3.0 1982 · score 3.1 1983 · score 3.1 1984 · score 3.0 1985 · score 2.9 1986 · score 2.8 1987 · score 2.8 1988 · score 3.2 1989 · score 3.3 1990 · score 3.4 1991 · score 3.6 1992 · score 4.2 1993 · score 4.2 1994 · score 4.2 1995 · score 4.3 1996 · score 4.8 1997 · score 4.9 1998 · score 5.0 1999 · score 5.1 2000 · score 5.2 2001 · score 5.3 2002 · score 5.5 2003 · score 5.5 2004 · score 5.5 2005 · score 5.4 2006 · score 5.4 2007 · score 5.4 2008 · score 5.7 2009 · score 6.0 2010 · score 6.1 2011 · score 6.2 2012 · score 6.3 2013 · score 6.4 2014 · score 6.4 2015 · score 6.4 2016 · score 6.5 2017 · score 6.6 2018 · score 6.6 2019 · score 7.7 2020 · score 9.5 2021 · score 9.3 2022 · score 8.5 2023 · score 8.2 2024 · score 8.5 2025 · score 8.2 2026 · score 8.1

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.9 Regional 5.9 State 7.3 Economic 4.6 Supply 8.8 Rent Control 4.2 Eviction 6.6 Tenant 8.0 Housing 4.2 8.1 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +4.2% (2024)
    5.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.9
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    7.8% poverty · 3.1% unemp.
    4.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,134 average · 39.7% renters
    8.8
  6. Rent Control risk
    22.8% of income on rent
    4.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    385 days filing → judgment
    6.6
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    39.7% renters
    8.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Cassel and the region

Click any city to see its score

How New Cassel compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Nassau County
Very Low
#111 of 130 cities
Rank in county, 15th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 130 cities in Nassau County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
Elevated
#557 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 57th percentileLowHigh
#557 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
New Cassel risk score vs. county / state / U.S.New Cassel: 8.18.1New CasselThis cityCounty: 8.58.5Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.1
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 8.1/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 385d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,134/mo. A contested eviction takes 385 days and costs $22,716–$40,830 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 39.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 14,551 residents, 39.7% rent. 23% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 7.8% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.9 and 5.9 (GOP margin +4.2% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.6, housing court bias 4.2, rent-control risk 4.2. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.6 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.6. Supply constraint: 8.8. The numbers behind those: 7.8% poverty, 3.1% unemployment, 23% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

New Cassel sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Brentwood, NY · 378d · ~$31.4k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.3 Brentwood White Plains, NY · 384d · ~$30.7k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.3 White Plains Hempstead, NY · 418d · ~$32.6k all-in ($78/day) · score 9.4 Hempstead Levittown, NY · 387d · ~$30.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.4 Levittown Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle New Cassel
New Cassel · 385d · ~$31.8k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.1 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in New Cassel, NY

Landlording in New Cassel, New York, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.1/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

New Cassel is a city of 14,551 residents where 39.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 22.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,134/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How New Cassel eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.6/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in New Cassel closes 385 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of New Cassel's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in New Cassel runs $22,716 to $40,830 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 385 days of typical timeline and $2,134/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8/10 in New Cassel, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in New Cassel: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $40,830 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in New Cassel

Trap · 4.2/10
Comparative benchmarking matters in markets like this. New Cassel's 5.9/10 is near the New York state average. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 4.2/10. See the nearby cities grid below for direct A-vs-B comparison.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the absolute fastest I can evict someone in New Cassel?

There's no "fast" eviction in New Cassel. Even with perfect paperwork and a cooperative tenant, you're looking at months. The 385-day average timeline is real. Your best bet is always to resolve issues outside of court, even if it means offering cash for keys.
Q2

Can I just change the locks if a tenant doesn't pay?

Absolutely not. Changing locks, turning off utilities, or removing a tenant's belongings are illegal self-help evictions in New York and can result in severe penalties, including fines and having to pay the tenant damages. Always follow the legal process.
Q3

How much can I charge for late fees in New Cassel?

New York law caps late fees at $50 or 5% of the monthly rent, whichever is less. Make sure this is clearly stated in your lease agreement. Don't try to charge more; it's unenforceable and could cause issues in court.
Q4

Is rent control a risk in New Cassel?

New Cassel itself does not have local rent control. However, New York State has a complex set of rent stabilization laws that primarily affect larger, older buildings in NYC and some surrounding areas. While it's not a direct threat to most 1-5 unit landlords in New Cassel right now, state laws can change. Keep an eye on our New York rent control rules page for updates.
Q5

What if my tenant claims a hardship and can't pay?

New York courts are often sympathetic to tenant hardships. While a hardship doesn't erase the rent owed, it can significantly prolong the eviction process. Be prepared for judges to grant adjournments or recommend payment plans. Document any offers you make to help them, like payment plans, as it shows good faith.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.1/10 places New Cassel in the 61st percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.