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Neighborhood · Syracuse, NY

Lincoln Park Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 5,155 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.1/10 · range 9.1–9.1

Lincoln Park spans 2 census tracts of Syracuse, NY and houses 5,155 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.1/10, in the High tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Syracuse rate of 32.9%.

The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. That places it #1 of 26 neighborhoods in Syracuse. For a like-for-like read, Westside and Near Westside score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $62,698, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $986, close to the Syracuse average. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.1
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln Park vs Syracuse How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.7% +42%
Syracuse: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$986 -5%
Syracuse: $1,039
Average HH income
$62,698 +37%
Syracuse: $45,845
Poverty rate
24.3% -18%
Syracuse: 29.6%
Renter share
46.7% -20%
Syracuse: 58.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 9.1–9.1

Why Lincoln Park scores 9.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
24.3% below poverty line · Range 5.4–6.7 across tracts
6.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.6 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Lincoln Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.1Lincoln ParkNeighborhood7.7Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lincoln Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36067001701 9.1 2,590 47% $963
36067001702 9.1 2,565 46% $1,010
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 61%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lincoln Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Park?

Lincoln Park scores 9.1/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln Park compare to Syracuse overall?

Lincoln Park scores 1.4 points higher than Syracuse overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $986 vs $1,039.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln Park?

Average gross rent in Lincoln Park is $986/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln Park residents are renters?

47% of Lincoln Park households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Syracuse). The neighborhood has 5,155 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln Park sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lincoln Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln Park is census tract 36067001701 (score 9.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.1 to 9.1, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Lincoln Park for landlords?

Lincoln Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Syracuse as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Park?

Lincoln Park has 5,147 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.6%), Hispanic / Latino (13.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Syracuse

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln Park.

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