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Neighborhood · Syracuse, NY

Downtown Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 3,233 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.1/10 · range 9.1–9.1

Downtown is a one-tract neighborhood of Syracuse, NY, population 3,233. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.1/10, in the High tier. 97% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $1,309 a month, rents sit 26% over what the rest of Syracuse commands.

The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.

Against a Syracuse baseline of 32.9%, 36% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Syracuse, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Westside and Brighton score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $62,375.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 9.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.1
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Syracuse How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.2% +10%
Syracuse: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$1,309 +26%
Syracuse: $1,039
Average HH income
$62,375 +36%
Syracuse: $45,845
Poverty rate
25.7% -13%
Syracuse: 29.6%
Renter share
97.1% +66%
Syracuse: 58.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 9.1–9.1

Why Downtown scores 9.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
97% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
25.7% below poverty line · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.1DowntownNeighborhood7.7Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36067003200 9.1 3,233 36% $1,309
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 9.1/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Syracuse overall?

Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Syracuse overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,309 vs $1,039.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,309/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

97% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Syracuse). The neighborhood has 3,233 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Syracuse as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 3,053 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Syracuse

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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