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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Drexel / 2773 Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville

Tract 37051002402 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 2,931 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 37051002402 covers the Drexel / 2773 neighborhood of Fayetteville in North Carolina. Home to 2,931 residents, it scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $946 monthly, set against $40,673 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 32% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,725
Renter share68.7%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate23.3%
Median income$40,673

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Drexel / 2773
Very High
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Elevated
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#294 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.1072, -78.9175 · click any tract to drill in

Why Drexel / 2773 scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
23.3% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$946 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Drexel / 2773 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Drexel / 2773 risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 002402Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5,830Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 39.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 67.5%Peak (2008)
  • 333Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510024022002: 235 filings (31.50/100 renter HHs)2003: 322 filings (43.16/100 renter HHs)2005: 276 filings (37.62/100 renter HHs)2006: 357 filings (48.66/100 renter HHs)2007: 327 filings (44.57/100 renter HHs)2008: 495 filings (67.47/100 renter HHs)2009: 472 filings (64.34/100 renter HHs)2010: 479 filings (44.11/100 renter HHs)2011: 451 filings (39.60/100 renter HHs)2012: 369 filings (32.40/100 renter HHs)2013: 332 filings (29.15/100 renter HHs)2014: 322 filings (28.27/100 renter HHs)2015: 321 filings (28.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 352 filings (28.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 387 filings (30.79/100 renter HHs)2018: 333 filings (26.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 42% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Drexel / 2773. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Drexel / 2773

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5,830 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 39.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 67.5% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051002402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051002402?

Census tract 37051002402 in the Drexel / 2773 neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051002402?

Median gross rent is $946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051002402?

23.3% of residents in tract 37051002402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,931.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051002402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 40th, minority 85th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 37051002402 considered part of Drexel / 2773?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37051002402 fall within Drexel / 2773 (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051002402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5,830 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051002402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 39.02% of renter households, peaking at 67.5% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37051002402 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37051002402 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051002402 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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