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Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051001604 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 8,193 · 9% of tract blocks fall in Fayetteville

Census tract 37051001604 belongs to Fayetteville, North Carolina. It is home to 8,193 residents and scores 5.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,252 a month against an average household income of $52,526 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 26% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,973
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate24.6%
Median income$52,526

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#294 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
National
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19,562 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 34.9927, -78.9132 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
24.6% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,252 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001604Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5,457Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 38.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 44.0%Peak (2015)
  • 404Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510016042002: 220 filings (65.04/100 renter HHs)2003: 244 filings (72.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 218 filings (29.70/100 renter HHs)2006: 225 filings (30.66/100 renter HHs)2007: 262 filings (35.70/100 renter HHs)2008: 255 filings (34.75/100 renter HHs)2009: 340 filings (46.33/100 renter HHs)2010: 341 filings (29.60/100 renter HHs)2011: 380 filings (31.28/100 renter HHs)2012: 375 filings (30.86/100 renter HHs)2013: 375 filings (30.86/100 renter HHs)2014: 513 filings (42.22/100 renter HHs)2015: 535 filings (44.03/100 renter HHs)2016: 447 filings (33.43/100 renter HHs)2017: 323 filings (24.16/100 renter HHs)2018: 404 filings (30.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 84% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5,457 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 38.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 44.0% of renter households in 2015.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051001604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051001604?

Census tract 37051001604 in Fayetteville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051001604?

Median gross rent is $1,252/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051001604?

24.6% of residents in tract 37051001604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,193.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051001604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 87th, minority 77th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051001604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5,457 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051001604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.19% of renter households, peaking at 44.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051001604 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051001604 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051001604 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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