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Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051001200 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 5,099

Tract 37051001200 covers Fayetteville in North Carolina. Home to 5,099 residents, it scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $922 monthly, set against $40,984 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 34% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,493
Renter share64.2%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$40,984

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#294 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
National
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19,562 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0923, -78.8814 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$922 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001200Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,724Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 21.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.2%Peak (2010)
  • 278Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510012002002: 343 filings (30.21/100 renter HHs)2003: 297 filings (26.16/100 renter HHs)2005: 244 filings (17.57/100 renter HHs)2006: 261 filings (18.79/100 renter HHs)2007: 258 filings (18.57/100 renter HHs)2008: 267 filings (19.22/100 renter HHs)2009: 334 filings (24.04/100 renter HHs)2010: 405 filings (28.18/100 renter HHs)2011: 317 filings (22.47/100 renter HHs)2012: 284 filings (20.13/100 renter HHs)2013: 312 filings (22.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 292 filings (20.69/100 renter HHs)2015: 276 filings (19.56/100 renter HHs)2016: 273 filings (20.28/100 renter HHs)2017: 283 filings (21.03/100 renter HHs)2018: 278 filings (20.65/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4,724 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 21.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.2% of renter households in 2010.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051001200?

Census tract 37051001200 in Fayetteville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051001200?

Median gross rent is $922/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051001200?

22.5% of residents in tract 37051001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,099.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 69th, minority 83th, housing 92th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051001200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,724 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.85% of renter households, peaking at 28.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051001200 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051001200 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051001200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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