Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Drexel / 2773 Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville
Tract 37051002402 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 2,931 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 37051002402 sits in the Drexel / 2773 area of Fayetteville eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 2,931 residents. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,725
Renter share68.7%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate23.3%
Median income$40,673
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 35.1072, -78.9175 · click any tract to drill in
Why Drexel / 2773 scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
23.3% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$946 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0
How Drexel / 2773 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5,830Total filings over 16 yrs
- 39.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 67.5%Peak (2008)
- 333Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 42% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Drexel / 2773. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.8%Housing insecurity
- 16.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.4%Food insecurity
- 27.3%SNAP enrollment
- 15.4%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 39.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Drexel / 2773
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.3/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $946, 24% below the Fayetteville average.
53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cumberland County average of 45.9%. SNAP participation runs 27.3% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Against the Cumberland County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5,830 filings here across 16 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2008, when 67.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 39.0% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37051002402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051002402?
Census tract 37051002402 in the Drexel / 2773 neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37051002402?
Median gross rent is $946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37051002402?
23.3% of residents in tract 37051002402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,931.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37051002402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 40th, minority 85th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 37051002402 considered part of Drexel / 2773?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37051002402 fall within Drexel / 2773 (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051002402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5,830 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051002402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 39.02% of renter households, peaking at 67.5% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37051002402 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37051002402 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Tract 37051002402 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
37051000200
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051001800
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051000500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051001903
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051003302
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051003800
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051001000
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051002301
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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