Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37051002302 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 1,077
Census tract 37051002302 covers part of Fayetteville, NC, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,077. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units432
Renter share68.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate41.5%
Median income$35,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 35.1012, -78.9459 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fayetteville scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
41.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$783 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0
How Fayetteville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.1%Housing insecurity
- 20.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.2%Food insecurity
- 35.6%SNAP enrollment
- 17.7%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 46.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville
The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $783, 37% below the Fayetteville average. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 35.6% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Disability prevalence runs 46.4% against 31.5% nationally.
40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Cumberland County average of 45.9%. It sits 1.0 points above the Cumberland County average of 4.0. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37051002302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051002302?
Census tract 37051002302 in Fayetteville scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37051002302?
Median gross rent is $783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37051002302?
41.5% of residents in tract 37051002302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,077.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37051002302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 93th, minority 86th, housing 86th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37051002302 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37051002302 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Tract 37051002302 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
37051000200
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051001800
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051000500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051001903
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051003302
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051003800
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051002301
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051001000
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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