Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Watts Hospital-Hillandale Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063000401 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,551 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
For landlords sizing up the Watts Hospital-Hillandale neighborhood of Durham, census tract 37063000401 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #39,925 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 29% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,609 a month while the average household earns $114,661 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,163
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$114,661
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0222, -78.9315 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watts Hospital-Hillandale scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,609 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Watts Hospital-Hillandale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 9%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 679Total filings over 11 yrs
- 17.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.4%Peak (2006)
- 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watts Hospital-Hillandale
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Durham County average of 5.9 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063000401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000401?
Census tract 37063000401 in the Watts Hospital-Hillandale neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063000401?
Median gross rent is $1,609/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000401?
8.9% of residents in tract 37063000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,551.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 35th, minority 32th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 37063000401 considered part of Watts Hospital-Hillandale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000401 fall within Watts Hospital-Hillandale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 679 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.19% of renter households, peaking at 28.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063000401 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063000401 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063000401 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063000401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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