Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Watts Hospital-Hillandale Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063000401 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,551 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 37063000401 sits in the Watts Hospital-Hillandale area of Durham eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 2,551. Against Durham County at 43.8%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,163
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$114,661
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0222, -78.9315 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watts Hospital-Hillandale scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,609 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Watts Hospital-Hillandale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 9%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 679Total filings over 11 yrs
- 17.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.4%Peak (2006)
- 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watts Hospital-Hillandale
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.
The filing record is not thin: 679 evictions over 11 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 28.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 17.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063000401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000401?
Census tract 37063000401 in the Watts Hospital-Hillandale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063000401?
Median gross rent is $1,609/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000401?
8.9% of residents in tract 37063000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,551.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 35th, minority 32th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 37063000401 considered part of Watts Hospital-Hillandale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000401 fall within Watts Hospital-Hillandale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 679 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.19% of renter households, peaking at 28.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063000401 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063000401 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063000401 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063000401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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L L Wilkins
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hayti
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Duke Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related
Explore the geography around tract 37063000401
Parent city ↑
Durham
4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Durham County
Parent state ↑
North Carolina
Sibling tract →
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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