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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Annie Day Shepard Dormitory Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001400 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,984 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.7/10 for census tract 37063001400 reflects conditions in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory neighborhood of Durham, North Carolina. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 16% of renter households, a modest level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $822 monthly, set against $49,028 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 56% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,295
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate34.8%
Median income$49,028

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
Very High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 70 tracts In Durham
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#264 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9766, -78.8858 · click any tract to drill in

Why Annie Day Shepard Dormitory scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
34.8% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$822 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Annie Day Shepard Dormitory compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 001400Durham: 3.43.4Durhamparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,009Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 22.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.6%Peak (2005)
  • 97Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370630014002005: 275 filings (31.61/100 renter HHs)2006: 234 filings (26.90/100 renter HHs)2009: 275 filings (31.61/100 renter HHs)2010: 210 filings (26.32/100 renter HHs)2011: 218 filings (27.91/100 renter HHs)2012: 148 filings (18.95/100 renter HHs)2013: 174 filings (22.28/100 renter HHs)2014: 116 filings (14.85/100 renter HHs)2015: 116 filings (14.85/100 renter HHs)2016: 146 filings (21.99/100 renter HHs)2017: 97 filings (14.61/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 65% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Annie Day Shepard Dormitory

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Durham County average of 5.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,009 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 22.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 31.6% of renter households in 2005.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001400?

Census tract 37063001400 in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063001400?

Median gross rent is $822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001400?

34.8% of residents in tract 37063001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,984.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 94th, minority 92th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 37063001400 considered part of Annie Day Shepard Dormitory?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001400 fall within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,009 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.90% of renter households, peaking at 31.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37063001400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37063001400 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001400 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 37063001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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