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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Annie Day Shepard Dormitory Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001400 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,984 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

37063001400 is a census tract in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory area of Durham, NC. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,984 residents. Cost burden runs 16% here against 43.8% across Durham County.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 56% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,295
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate34.8%
Median income$49,028

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
Very Low
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 70 tracts In Durham
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#217 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9766, -78.8858 · click any tract to drill in

Why Annie Day Shepard Dormitory scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
34.8% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$822 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Annie Day Shepard Dormitory compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001400Durham: 4.04.0Durhamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,009Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 22.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.6%Peak (2005)
  • 97Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370630014002005: 275 filings (31.61/100 renter HHs)2006: 234 filings (26.90/100 renter HHs)2009: 275 filings (31.61/100 renter HHs)2010: 210 filings (26.32/100 renter HHs)2011: 218 filings (27.91/100 renter HHs)2012: 148 filings (18.95/100 renter HHs)2013: 174 filings (22.28/100 renter HHs)2014: 116 filings (14.85/100 renter HHs)2015: 116 filings (14.85/100 renter HHs)2016: 146 filings (21.99/100 renter HHs)2017: 97 filings (14.61/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 65% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Annie Day Shepard Dormitory

At $822 a month, rents run 45% under what the rest of Durham commands. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.7/10.

Housing insecurity runs 29.5% against 14.2% nationally. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The filing record is not thin: 2,009 evictions over 11 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2005 at 31.6% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 22.9% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001400?

Census tract 37063001400 in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063001400?

Median gross rent is $822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001400?

34.8% of residents in tract 37063001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,984.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 94th, minority 92th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 37063001400 considered part of Annie Day Shepard Dormitory?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001400 fall within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,009 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.90% of renter households, peaking at 31.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37063001400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37063001400 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 37063001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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