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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

The Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001504 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,332 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 37063001504 sits in the The Heights area of Durham eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 2,332 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 46% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,390
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate52.6%
Median income$23,198

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#14 of 70 tracts In Durham
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#217 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 36.0078, -78.9526 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Heights scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
52.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,155 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How The Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001504Durham: 4.04.0Durhamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Heights

Annualized rent equals 60% of average household income of $23,198, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.4/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Durham County average of 43.8%.

At $1,155 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Durham commands. Food insecurity runs 29.9% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001504?

Census tract 37063001504 in the The Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063001504?

Median gross rent is $1,155/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001504?

52.6% of residents in tract 37063001504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,332.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 22th, minority 83th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 37063001504 considered part of The Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001504 fall within The Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37063001504 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37063001504 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001504 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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