Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Duke Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063000200 · Durham County, NC · pop 3,381 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
37063000200 is a census tract in the Duke Park area of Durham, NC. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Average gross rent is $849, 44% below the Durham average.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,222
Renter share61.1%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate28.3%
Median income$69,643
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0089, -78.8854 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duke Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
28.3% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$849 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Duke Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 8%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 35%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,639Total filings over 11 yrs
- 45.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 61.8%Peak (2006)
- 155Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 65% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 18.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duke Park
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Court records carry 3,639 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 61.8% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 46.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000200?
Census tract 37063000200 in the Duke Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063000200?
Median gross rent is $849/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000200?
28.3% of residents in tract 37063000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,381.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 27th, minority 72th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 37063000200 considered part of Duke Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000200 fall within Duke Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,639 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.96% of renter households, peaking at 61.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063000200 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063000200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Beech Lake
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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