Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Crest Street Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001505 · Durham County, NC · pop 3,537 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 37063001505 covers the Crest Street area of Durham in North Carolina. Home to 3,537 residents, it scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #11,398 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,383 monthly, set against $41,027 in average yearly household income, roughly 40% of income at the averages. Renters make up 98% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 59% Owners 3%

Tract context

Occupied units2,046

Renter share97.5%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate36.3%

Median income$41,027

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 36.0114, -78.9406 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crest Street scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

36.3% poverty · this tract

9.1

Supply constraint

$1,383 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How Crest Street compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
3%Grade C
36%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crest Street. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.8%Housing insecurity
12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
26.2%Food insecurity
22.6%SNAP enrollment
14.8%Transit barriers
14.5%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
32.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crest Street

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Durham County average of 5.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 36% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001505

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001505?

Census tract 37063001505 in the Crest Street neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37063001505?

Median gross rent is $1,383/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001505?

36.3% of residents in tract 37063001505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,537.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 6th, minority 83th, housing 93th.

Is tract 37063001505 considered part of Crest Street?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001505 fall within Crest Street (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37063001505 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37063001505 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001505 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 37063001505 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 36% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.