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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Crest Street Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001505 · Durham County, NC · pop 3,537 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

37063001505 is a census tract in the Crest Street area of Durham, NC. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,537. This is renter territory: 98% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 59% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units2,046
Renter share97.5%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate36.3%
Median income$41,027

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Crest Street
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 70 tracts In Durham
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#7 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#217 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 36.0114, -78.9406 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crest Street scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
36.3% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,383 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Crest Street compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crest Street risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001505Durham: 4.04.0Durhamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crest Street. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crest Street

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Set annual rent against average income of $41,027 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.1/10.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Food insecurity runs 26.2% against 17.8% nationally. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Durham County average of 43.8%.

SNAP participation runs 22.6% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,383 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Durham commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001505?

Census tract 37063001505 in the Crest Street neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063001505?

Median gross rent is $1,383/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001505?

36.3% of residents in tract 37063001505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,537.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 6th, minority 83th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 37063001505 considered part of Crest Street?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001505 fall within Crest Street (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37063001505 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37063001505 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001505 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 37063001505 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 36% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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