Rolling Roads Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 33.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $1,536 a month, rents sit 31% over what the rest of Greensboro commands. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot is supply constraint at 8.4/10. The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.1/10. Court records for this tract carry 316 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 21.4% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 14.8% in 2016 against a 21.4% peak.

That places it #24 of 35 neighborhoods in Greensboro. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.