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Burgaw, North Carolina eviction risk overview
City brief · 3,850 residents

Burgaw, NC Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Pender County · Population 3,850

In 2026
Risk score
4.2
MODERATE

44th percentile, North Carolina.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.0 Average3.3 Now4.2
10 5 1976 · score 2.2 1977 · score 2.3 1978 · score 2.3 1979 · score 2.4 1980 · score 2.1 1981 · score 2.2 1982 · score 2.2 1983 · score 2.2 1984 · score 2.0 1985 · score 2.0 1986 · score 2.0 1987 · score 2.0 1988 · score 2.1 1989 · score 2.1 1990 · score 2.2 1991 · score 2.2 1992 · score 2.5 1993 · score 2.5 1994 · score 2.5 1995 · score 2.6 1996 · score 2.5 1997 · score 2.5 1998 · score 2.6 1999 · score 2.7 2000 · score 3.2 2001 · score 3.3 2002 · score 3.3 2003 · score 3.4 2004 · score 3.2 2005 · score 3.3 2006 · score 3.4 2007 · score 3.4 2008 · score 3.8 2009 · score 3.9 2010 · score 4.0 2011 · score 4.0 2012 · score 3.9 2013 · score 4.0 2014 · score 4.1 2015 · score 4.2 2016 · score 4.2 2017 · score 4.3 2018 · score 4.5 2019 · score 4.7 2020 · score 5.2 2021 · score 5.2 2022 · score 5.3 2023 · score 5.2 2024 · score 5.2 2025 · score 5.3 2026 · score 4.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.2 Regional 4.2 State 2.3 Economic 8.7 Supply 6.6 Rent Control 5.6 Eviction 1.9 Tenant 7.1 Housing 7.0 4.2 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +35.0% (2024)
    4.2
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.2
  3. State political climate
    North Carolina legislature & governorship
    2.3
  4. Economic stress
    22.3% poverty · 11.5% unemp.
    8.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $943 average · 32.5% renters
    6.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.4% of income on rent
    5.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    44 days filing → judgment
    1.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    32.5% renters
    7.1
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burgaw and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Burgaw compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Pender County
High
#3 of 10 cities
Rank in county, 78th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 10 cities in Pender County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in North Carolina
Moderate
#444 of 774 cities
Rank in state, 43rd percentileBottomTop
#444 of 774 cities in North Carolina for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Burgaw risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Burgaw: 4.24.2BurgawThis cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg in countyState: 4.84.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.2
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 44d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $943/mo. A contested eviction takes 44 days and costs $1,702-$4,027 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 32.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 3,850 residents, 32.5% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 22.3% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.2
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.2 and 4.2 (GOP margin +35.0% (2024)). State climate at 2.3, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.3
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.9, housing court bias 7, rent-control risk 5.6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 8.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 8.7. Supply constraint: 6.6. The numbers behind those: 22.3% poverty, 11.5% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Burgaw sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Wilmington, NC · 49d · ~$2.9k all-in ($60/day) · score 4 Wilmington Jacksonville, NC · 48d · ~$2.8k all-in ($59/day) · score 5 Jacksonville Charlotte, NC · 43d · ~$2.9k all-in ($68/day) · score 5.1 Charlotte Raleigh, NC · 45d · ~$3.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 5.3 Raleigh Greensboro, NC · 44d · ~$2.7k all-in ($61/day) · score 5.1 Greensboro Durham, NC · 45d · ~$2.7k all-in ($60/day) · score 5.8 Durham Winston-Salem, NC · 48d · ~$3.2k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.3 Winston-Salem Fayetteville, NC · 48d · ~$2.8k all-in ($59/day) · score 3.9 Fayetteville Cary, NC · 46d · ~$2.8k all-in ($61/day) · score 3.6 Cary High Point, NC · 41d · ~$3.3k all-in ($80/day) · score 4 High Point Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Burgaw
Burgaw · 44d · ~$2.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 4.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Burgaw, NC

Landlording in Burgaw, North Carolina, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Burgaw is a city of 3,850 residents where 32.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.4% of income on rent. At an average rent of $943/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Burgaw eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Burgaw closes 44 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Burgaw's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Burgaw runs $1,702 to $4,027 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 44 days of typical timeline and $943/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.1/10 in Burgaw, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In North Carolina, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Burgaw: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match North Carolina's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $4,027 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Burgaw

Trap · 30.0 POINTS
Politically, Pender County voted Republican by 30.0 points in 2020, a baseline that correlates with landlord-neutral legislative pressure. Combined with 29.4% rent-to-income ratio, expect baseline enforcement of NCGS 42-26.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my tenant claims I haven't made repairs?

If a tenant claims you haven't made necessary repairs, they might try to use this as a defense in court. In North Carolina, tenants generally cannot withhold rent for repairs without a court order, but they can counterclaim. Always document all repair requests, your responses, and completion dates. Address legitimate repair issues promptly to avoid this defense.
Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Burgaw for having unauthorized pets?

Yes, if your lease specifically prohibits pets or requires prior approval, and the tenant violates this clause, you can evict them. You would typically issue a notice to cure the violation (remove the pet) or quit, depending on your lease terms and state law for lease violations. If they don't comply, you can proceed with an eviction.
Q3

How long do I have to store a tenant's abandoned property?

In North Carolina, if a tenant leaves personal property after an eviction, you must store it for at least 7 days. After 7 days, if the property is worth less than $500, you can dispose of it. If it's worth more than $500, you must send a notice to the tenant's last known address and hold it for 30 days before selling or disposing of it.
Q4

Is it worth it to go to small claims court for unpaid rent after an eviction?

Yes, it often is. After you get a Judgment for Possession, you can also get a money judgment for unpaid rent and damages. While collecting on a money judgment can be difficult, it's worth pursuing. You can garnish wages or bank accounts if you know where the tenant works or banks. Don't just walk away from what you're owed.
Q5

Can I refuse to renew a lease without a reason in Burgaw?

Generally, yes. North Carolina does not have statewide just-cause eviction requirements. As long as you provide proper notice according to your lease and state law (e.g., 30 days for a month-to-month lease) and are not doing so for discriminatory or retaliatory reasons, you can choose not to renew a lease. See our North Carolina rent control rules for more on this.
Q6

What if the tenant files for bankruptcy during the eviction process?

If a tenant files for bankruptcy, it triggers an "automatic stay," which immediately halts all collection actions, including evictions. You cannot proceed with the eviction until the bankruptcy court lifts the stay. This requires filing a motion with the bankruptcy court, which is definitely a time to call an attorney.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.2/10 places Burgaw in the 44th percentile of North Carolina cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.