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Neighborhood · Bismarck, ND

Gateway Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,930 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.1–4.6

Gateway takes in 2 census tracts of Bismarck, ND, population 9,930. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Bismarck baseline of 24.3%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

SNAP participation is 7.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Bismarck.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Little Canada and Edgewood North. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $1,040, close to the Bismarck average. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Gateway vs Bismarck How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.6% +92%
Bismarck: 24.3%
Average gross rent
$1,040 +4%
Bismarck: $999
Average HH income
$71,582
Bismarck: $0
Poverty rate
15.2% +57%
Bismarck: 9.7%
Renter share
37.9% +10%
Bismarck: 34.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gateway and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.1–4.6

Why Gateway scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.9 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–5.8 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Gateway vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gateway score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4GatewayNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Gateway

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38015010300 4.6 5,726 54% $993
38015010400 4.1 4,204 37% $1,103
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 51%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gateway

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gateway

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gateway?

Gateway scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gateway compare to Bismarck overall?

Gateway scores 1.2 points higher than Bismarck overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,040 vs $999.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gateway?

Average gross rent in Gateway is $1,040/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gateway residents are renters?

38% of Gateway households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Bismarck). The neighborhood has 9,930 residents.
Q5

Is Gateway a high social-vulnerability area?

Gateway sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Gateway have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Gateway is census tract 38015010300 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 4.6, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Gateway for landlords?

Gateway carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bismarck as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Gateway?

Gateway has 9,805 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.4%), Other / Multiracial (10%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gateway

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bismarck

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gateway.

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