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Neighborhood · Bismarck, ND

Little Canada Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,111 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–4.6

Little Canada takes in 2 census tracts of Bismarck, ND and houses 8,111 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. 51% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Bismarck rate of 24.3%.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 4.6, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. SNAP participation is 6.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 9.4% of adults, 8.4 points below the national rate. That places it #2 of 4 neighborhoods in Bismarck. For a like-for-like read, Edgewood North and Heritage Park/Ridge score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $71,981, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $1,057, close to the Bismarck average.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Little Canada vs Bismarck How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.5% +108%
Bismarck: 24.3%
Average gross rent
$1,057 +6%
Bismarck: $999
Average HH income
$71,981
Bismarck: $0
Poverty rate
8.8% -9%
Bismarck: 9.7%
Renter share
45.1% +31%
Bismarck: 34.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Canada and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4.6

Why Little Canada scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
8.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.3 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–6.4 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Little Canada vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Little Canada score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6Little CanadaNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Little Canada

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38015011103 4.6 2,938 58% $864
38015011101 3 5,173 46% $1,166
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 21%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Little Canada

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Little Canada

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Little Canada?

Little Canada scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Little Canada compare to Bismarck overall?

Little Canada scores 0.4 points higher than Bismarck overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,057 vs $999.
Q3

What is the average rent in Little Canada?

Average gross rent in Little Canada is $1,057/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Little Canada residents are renters?

45% of Little Canada households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Bismarck). The neighborhood has 8,111 residents.
Q5

Is Little Canada a high social-vulnerability area?

Little Canada sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Little Canada have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Little Canada is census tract 38015011103 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.6, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Little Canada for landlords?

Little Canada carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bismarck as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Little Canada?

Little Canada has 7,745 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (83.2%), Other / Multiracial (10%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Little Canada

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bismarck

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Little Canada.

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