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Neighborhood · Bismarck, ND

Little Canada Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,111 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.7/10 · range 2.2–3.7

Little Canada is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bismarck with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,111 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,057/month sits 6% higher than the Bismarck citywide average ($999).

Risk score
2.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Little Canada vs Bismarck How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.5% +108%
Bismarck: 24.3%
Average gross rent
$1,057 +6%
Bismarck: $999
Average HH income
$71,981
Bismarck: $0
Poverty rate
8.8% -9%
Bismarck: 9.7%
Renter share
45.1% +31%
Bismarck: 34.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Canada and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.2–3.7

Why Little Canada scores 2.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
8.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.3 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–6.4 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Little Canada vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Little Canada score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Little Canada: 2.72.7Little CanadaNeighborhoodParent city: 1.71.7Parent cityhost cityState: 1.81.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Little Canada

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38015011103 3.7 2,938 58% $864
38015011101 2.2 5,173 46% $1,166
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 21%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Little Canada

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Little Canada

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Little Canada?

Little Canada scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Little Canada compare to Bismarck overall?

Little Canada scores 1.0 points higher than Bismarck overall (1.7/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,057 vs $999.
Q3

What is the average rent in Little Canada?

Average gross rent in Little Canada is $1,057/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Little Canada residents are renters?

45% of Little Canada households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Bismarck). The neighborhood has 8,111 residents.
Q5

Is Little Canada a high social-vulnerability area?

Little Canada sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Little Canada have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Little Canada is census tract 38015011103 (score 3.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.2 to 3.7, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Little Canada for landlords?

Little Canada carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bismarck as a whole (1.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Little Canada?

Little Canada has 7,745 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (83.2%), Other / Multiracial (10%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Little Canada

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bismarck

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Little Canada.

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