Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Gateway Eviction Risk: Lower , Bismarck

Tract 38015010300 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 5,726 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

In Gateway in Bismarck, census tract 38015010300 scores 3.5/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 5th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $993 a month against an average household income of $65,391 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 23% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,689
Renter share49.3%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$65,391

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Gateway
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
High
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.8236, -100.7641 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gateway scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$993 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5

How Gateway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gateway risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 010300Bismarck: 1.71.7Bismarckparent cityCounty: 2.62.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gateway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gateway

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Burleigh County average of 2.9 and above the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015010300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010300?

Census tract 38015010300 in the Gateway neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38015010300?

Median gross rent is $993/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010300?

15.7% of residents in tract 38015010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,726.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 56th, minority 31th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 38015010300 considered part of Gateway?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38015010300 fall within Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38015010300 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38015010300 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015010300 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 1.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related