Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Gateway Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bismarck
Tract 38015010400 ·
Burleigh County, ND · pop 4,204 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 38015010400 sits in the Gateway area of Bismarck eviction risk, ND, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 14%Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,855
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$80,015
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Gateway
Very Low
Within parent city
67th percentile
#6 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
Elevated
Within county
72th percentile
#6 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
Elevated
Within state
81th percentile
#45 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bismarck and the region
Centroid at 46.8243, -100.7842 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gateway scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5
How Gateway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.4%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
12.8%Frequent mental distress
30.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gateway
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.
At $1,103 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Bismarck commands. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $80,015, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 37% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 38015010400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010400?
Census tract 38015010400 in the Gateway neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38015010400?
Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010400?
14.5% of residents in tract 38015010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,204.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 76th, minority 33th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 38015010400 considered part of Gateway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38015010400 fall within Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38015010400 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38015010400 compare to Bismarck overall?
Tract 38015010400 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck
Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.