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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Gateway Eviction Risk: Lower , Bismarck

Tract 38015010400 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 4,204 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 38015010400 sits in the Gateway neighborhood of Bismarck eviction risk, North Dakota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 2% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,103 monthly, set against $80,015 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 14% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,855
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$80,015

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Gateway
Very Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#108 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.8243, -100.7842 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gateway scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5

How Gateway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gateway risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 010400Bismarck: 1.71.7Bismarckparent cityCounty: 2.62.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gateway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gateway

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Burleigh County average of 2.9 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015010400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010400?

Census tract 38015010400 in the Gateway neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38015010400?

Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010400?

14.5% of residents in tract 38015010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,204.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 76th, minority 33th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 38015010400 considered part of Gateway?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38015010400 fall within Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38015010400 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38015010400 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015010400 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 1.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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