Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Little Canada Eviction Risk: Lower , Bismarck

Tract 38015011103 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 2,938 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Here is how census tract 38015011103, in Little Canada in Bismarck eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 3.5/10 eviction-risk score (Lower tier) across a population of 2,938. That is riskier than roughly 5% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $864 a month against an average household income of $52,552 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 25% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units1,251

Renter share60.4%

SVI overall0.69

Poverty rate17.2%

Median income$52,552

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.8316, -100.8166 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Canada scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bismarck

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

17.2% poverty · this tract

4.3

Supply constraint

$864 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bismarck

1.5

How Little Canada compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Canada. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.2%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
12.1%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
13.6%Frequent mental distress
34.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Canada

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Burleigh County average of 2.9 and above the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015011103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015011103?

Census tract 38015011103 in the Little Canada neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38015011103?

Median gross rent is $864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015011103?

17.2% of residents in tract 38015011103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,938.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015011103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 81th, minority 35th, housing 81th.

Is tract 38015011103 considered part of Little Canada?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38015011103 fall within Little Canada (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38015011103 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38015011103 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015011103 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 1.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.