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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Little Canada Eviction Risk: Lower , Bismarck

Tract 38015011101 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 5,173 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

For landlords sizing up the Little Canada area of Bismarck, census tract 38015011101 carries a lower eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. That is riskier than about 2% of US census tracts.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,166 a month while the average household earns $83,015 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 20% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,655
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$83,015

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Little Canada
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#184 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.8419, -100.7832 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Canada scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,166 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5

How Little Canada compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Canada risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 011101Bismarck: 1.71.7Bismarckparent cityCounty: 2.62.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Canada. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Canada

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Burleigh County average of 2.9 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015011101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015011101?

Census tract 38015011101 in the Little Canada neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38015011101?

Median gross rent is $1,166/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015011101?

4.1% of residents in tract 38015011101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,173.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015011101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 54th, minority 22th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 38015011101 considered part of Little Canada?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38015011101 fall within Little Canada (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38015011101 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38015011101 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015011101 scores 2.2/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 1.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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