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Lincoln, North Dakota eviction risk overview
City brief · 4,381 residents

Lincoln, ND Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Burleigh County · Population 4,381

In 2026
Risk score
1.4
VERY LOW

82th percentile, North Dakota.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average2.2 Now1.4
10 5 1976 · score 2.3 1977 · score 2.3 1978 · score 2.3 1979 · score 2.3 1980 · score 1.5 1981 · score 1.5 1982 · score 1.5 1983 · score 1.5 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.6 1987 · score 1.6 1988 · score 2.2 1989 · score 2.2 1990 · score 2.3 1991 · score 2.3 1992 · score 2.3 1993 · score 2.3 1994 · score 2.4 1995 · score 2.4 1996 · score 2.6 1997 · score 2.6 1998 · score 2.7 1999 · score 2.7 2000 · score 1.9 2001 · score 2.0 2002 · score 2.0 2003 · score 2.0 2004 · score 2.0 2005 · score 2.0 2006 · score 2.1 2007 · score 2.1 2008 · score 2.8 2009 · score 2.8 2010 · score 2.8 2011 · score 2.9 2012 · score 2.5 2013 · score 2.5 2014 · score 2.5 2015 · score 2.6 2016 · score 2.1 2017 · score 2.2 2018 · score 2.2 2019 · score 2.3 2020 · score 2.7 2021 · score 2.7 2022 · score 2.7 2023 · score 2.6 2024 · score 2.5 2025 · score 2.5 2026 · score 1.4

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 3.7 Regional 3.7 State 1.5 Economic 3.8 Supply 5.0 Rent Control 1.5 Eviction 1.0 Tenant 2.5 Housing 2.6 1.4 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +43.2% (2024)
    3.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    3.7
  3. State political climate
    North Dakota legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    6.4% poverty · 1.8% unemp.
    3.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $950 average · 7.8% renters
    5.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    26.9% of income on rent
    1.5
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    20 days filing → judgment
    1.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    7.8% renters
    2.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Lincoln compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Burleigh County
Elevated
#3 of 8 cities
Rank in county, 71st percentileBottomTop
#3 of 8 cities in Burleigh County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in North Dakota
High
#89 of 406 cities
Rank in state, 78th percentileBottomTop
#89 of 406 cities in North Dakota for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Lincoln risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Lincoln: 1.41.4LincolnThis cityCounty: 1.01.0Countyavg in countyState: 1.41.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 1.4
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 1.4/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend-0.9 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 20d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $950/mo. A contested eviction takes 20 days and costs $845-$2,500 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 7.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 4,381 residents, 7.8% rent. 27% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 6.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 3.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 3.7 and 3.7 (GOP margin +43.2% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1, housing court bias 2.6, rent-control risk 1.5. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-4.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.8. Supply constraint: 5. The numbers behind those: 6.4% poverty, 1.8% unemployment, 27% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Lincoln sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
00Overview

About eviction risk in Lincoln, ND

Landlording in Lincoln, North Dakota, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 1.4/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Lincoln is a city of 4,381 residents where 7.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 26.9% of income on rent. At an average rent of $950/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Lincoln eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Lincoln closes 20 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Lincoln's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Lincoln runs $845 to $2,500 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 20 days of typical timeline and $950/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.5/10 in Lincoln, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In North Dakota, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Lincoln: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match North Dakota's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $2,500 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Lincoln

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 20 days and roughly $2,500 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $1,000 to $1,500 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under N.D.C.C. 47-16.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Lincoln, ND, without a reason?

For month-to-month leases, yes, generally you can terminate the tenancy without a specific "just cause" by providing a 30-day notice. For fixed-term leases, you need a lease violation or other specified reason to evict before the lease term ends.

Q2

How long does a non-payment eviction typically take in Lincoln?

From serving the 3-day notice to getting the tenant out, the typical timeline for a non-payment eviction in Lincoln, ND, is around 20 days, assuming no major complications or delays by the tenant.

Q3

What are the common mistakes landlords make during eviction in North Dakota?

Common mistakes include improper notice (wrong timeframe, incorrect delivery), failing to document everything, attempting self-help eviction (changing locks, removing belongings), and errors in court filings. These mistakes can lead to dismissal of your case and starting over.

Q4

Do I need an attorney for an eviction in Lincoln?

While you can represent yourself, it's highly recommended to consult or hire an attorney, especially if you're unfamiliar with the process or if the tenant contests the eviction. An attorney ensures proper procedure and paperwork, minimizing delays and costly errors.

Q5

What should I do if a tenant tries to pay after the 3-day notice period?

This is tricky. If you accept full payment, you might waive your right to evict for that specific missed rent period. If you want to proceed with the eviction, do not accept any partial or full payment after the notice period has expired and you intend to file. Consult your attorney on how to handle such situations.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 1.4/10 places Lincoln in the 82nd percentile of North Dakota cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.