Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

River Drive Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo

Tract 38017010306 · Cass County, ND · pop 3,902 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

38017010306 is a census tract in the River Drive area of Fargo, ND. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,902. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 28% Owners 46%

Tract context

Occupied units1,796

Renter share54.2%

SVI overall0.62

Poverty rate8.9%

Median income$61,628

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.8279, -96.8036 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Drive scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fargo

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

8.9% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$839 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fargo

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fargo

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fargo

1.5

How River Drive compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

47%Socioeconomic
41%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.0%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
10.0%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
12.6%Frequent mental distress
26.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Drive

Against Cass County at 36.2%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally.

Average gross rent is $839, 11% below the Fargo average. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $61,628, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Cass County average of 3.5 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017010306

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017010306?

Census tract 38017010306 in the River Drive neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38017010306?

Median gross rent is $839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017010306?

8.9% of residents in tract 38017010306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,902.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017010306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 41th, minority 45th, housing 88th.

Is tract 38017010306 considered part of River Drive?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017010306 fall within River Drive (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38017010306 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38017010306 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017010306 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.