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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,326 of 84,120 nationally

Van Aken District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Shaker Heights

Tract 39035183605 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,423 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

For landlords sizing up the Van Aken District area of Shaker Heights, census tract 39035183605 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $988 monthly, set against $73,150 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 22% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,203
Renter share50.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$73,150

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 4 tracts In Van Aken District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 11 tracts In Shaker Heights
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileBottomTop
#21 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileBottomTop
#41 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4609, -81.5401 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Aken District scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$988 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
4.2

How Van Aken District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Van Aken District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 183605Shaker Heights: 5.55.5Shaker Heightsparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 366Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 6.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2005)
  • 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351836052004: 21 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2005: 43 filings (9.62/100 renter HHs)2006: 32 filings (7.16/100 renter HHs)2007: 36 filings (8.05/100 renter HHs)2008: 29 filings (6.49/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (5.81/100 renter HHs)2010: 33 filings (5.38/100 renter HHs)2011: 23 filings (4.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 29 filings (5.50/100 renter HHs)2013: 34 filings (6.45/100 renter HHs)2015: 37 filings (7.02/100 renter HHs)2016: 23 filings (4.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Van Aken District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Aken District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 366 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 6.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.6% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035183605

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035183605?

Census tract 39035183605 in the Van Aken District neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035183605?

Median gross rent is $988/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035183605?

13.7% of residents in tract 39035183605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,423.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035183605?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 12th, minority 71th, housing 77th.

Q5

Is tract 39035183605 considered part of Van Aken District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035183605 fall within Van Aken District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035183605?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 366 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035183605 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.14% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 39035183605 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 39035183605 compare to Shaker Heights overall?

Tract 39035183605 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 39035183605 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights

Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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