Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Garfield Heights
Tract 39035154100 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,226 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 39035154100 sits in the Mill Creek area of Garfield Heights eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. It is home to 2,226 residents. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units920
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$53,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Garfield Heights and the region
Centroid at 41.4318, -81.6234 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Creek scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Garfield Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,058 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garfield Heights
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garfield Heights
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garfield Heights
8.5
How Mill Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 22%Grade B
- 78%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 302Total filings over 12 yrs
- 11.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.3%Peak (2012)
- 28Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.8%Housing insecurity
- 19.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.7%Food insecurity
- 28.6%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Creek
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Food insecurity runs 29.7% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 302 filings here across 12 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 19.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cleveland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 11.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035154100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035154100?
Census tract 39035154100 in the Mill Creek neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035154100?
Median gross rent is $1,058/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035154100?
25.6% of residents in tract 39035154100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,226.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035154100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 87th, minority 75th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 39035154100 considered part of Mill Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035154100 fall within Mill Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035154100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 302 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035154100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.48% of renter households, peaking at 19.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39035154100 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39035154100 compare to Garfield Heights overall?
Tract 39035154100 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Garfield Heights at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garfield Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39035154100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Garfield Heights
Top eight tracts in Garfield Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39035154502
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39035154603
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Corlett
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Mill Creek
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Mill Creek
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Mill Creek
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39035154601
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39035154604
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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