Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Garfield Heights
Tract 39035154501 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 3,451 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Tract 39035154501 sits in the Mill Creek area of Garfield Heights eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 3,451. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,399
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$51,589
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Garfield Heights and the region
Centroid at 41.4190, -81.6159 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Creek scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Garfield Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,076 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garfield Heights
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garfield Heights
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garfield Heights
8.5
How Mill Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 31%Grade B
- 57%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 265Total filings over 12 yrs
- 4.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.0%Peak (2015)
- 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 433% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.8%Housing insecurity
- 16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.9%Food insecurity
- 26.3%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 38.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Creek
60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cuyahoga County average of 43.0%. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. SNAP participation runs 26.3% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 265 evictions over 12 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2015 at 9.0% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cleveland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035154501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035154501?
Census tract 39035154501 in the Mill Creek neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035154501?
Median gross rent is $1,076/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035154501?
14.9% of residents in tract 39035154501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,451.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035154501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 48th, minority 66th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 39035154501 considered part of Mill Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035154501 fall within Mill Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035154501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 265 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035154501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.68% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39035154501 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39035154501 compare to Garfield Heights overall?
Tract 39035154501 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Garfield Heights at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garfield Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39035154501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Garfield Heights
Top eight tracts in Garfield Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Mill Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39035154502
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39035154603
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Corlett
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Mill Creek
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Mill Creek
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39035154601
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39035154604
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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