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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus

Tract 39049006945 · Franklin County, OH · pop 6,406 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 39049006945 in the Northgate area of Columbus, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,406. This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 50% Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,457
Renter share88.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$47,029

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Northgate
Very High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#47 of 238 tracts In Columbus
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 328 tracts In Franklin County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#353 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbus and the region

Centroid at 40.0925, -82.9580 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,201 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northgate risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 006945Columbus: 4.34.3Columbusparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,052Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 11.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak (2002)
  • 240Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390490069452002: 255 filings (13.19/100 renter HHs)2003: 248 filings (12.82/100 renter HHs)2004: 208 filings (10.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 218 filings (11.25/100 renter HHs)2006: 215 filings (11.09/100 renter HHs)2007: 248 filings (12.80/100 renter HHs)2008: 241 filings (12.44/100 renter HHs)2009: 241 filings (12.44/100 renter HHs)2010: 250 filings (12.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 236 filings (10.63/100 renter HHs)2012: 252 filings (11.35/100 renter HHs)2013: 200 filings (9.01/100 renter HHs)2015: 240 filings (10.81/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,690Total filings 2020-21
  • 22.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 18.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 26 filings (1.07× baseline)2020-02-01: 24 filings (1.29× baseline)2020-03-01: 11 filings (0.48× baseline)2020-04-01: 4 filings (0.22× baseline)2020-05-01: 4 filings (0.20× baseline)2020-06-01: 8 filings (0.45× baseline)2020-07-01: 9 filings (0.68× baseline)2020-08-01: 32 filings (1.37× baseline)2020-09-01: 26 filings (0.99× baseline)2020-10-01: 22 filings (1.03× baseline)2020-11-01: 25 filings (1.39× baseline)2020-12-01: 32 filings (1.81× baseline)2021-01-01: 22 filings (0.90× baseline)2021-02-01: 11 filings (0.59× baseline)2021-03-01: 29 filings (1.26× baseline)2021-04-01: 29 filings (1.58× baseline)2021-05-01: 17 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-06-01: 34 filings (1.92× baseline)2021-07-01: 22 filings (1.65× baseline)2021-08-01: 14 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-09-01: 45 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-10-01: 36 filings (1.69× baseline)2021-11-01: 26 filings (1.44× baseline)2021-12-01: 33 filings (1.87× baseline)2022-01-01: 17 filings (0.70× baseline)2022-02-01: 32 filings (1.71× baseline)2022-03-01: 20 filings (0.87× baseline)2022-04-01: 37 filings (2.02× baseline)2022-05-01: 36 filings (1.83× baseline)2022-06-01: 32 filings (1.81× baseline)2022-07-01: 42 filings (3.15× baseline)2022-08-01: 24 filings (1.03× baseline)2022-09-01: 30 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-10-01: 23 filings (1.08× baseline)2022-11-01: 15 filings (0.83× baseline)2022-12-01: 28 filings (1.58× baseline)2023-01-01: 18 filings (0.74× baseline)2023-02-01: 15 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-03-01: 59 filings (2.57× baseline)2023-04-01: 25 filings (1.36× baseline)2023-05-01: 23 filings (1.17× baseline)2023-06-01: 19 filings (1.08× baseline)2023-07-01: 35 filings (2.63× baseline)2023-08-01: 27 filings (1.16× baseline)2023-09-01: 20 filings (0.76× baseline)2023-10-01: 17 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-11-01: 14 filings (0.78× baseline)2023-12-01: 12 filings (0.68× baseline)2024-01-01: 29 filings (1.19× baseline)2024-02-01: 21 filings (1.12× baseline)2024-03-01: 9 filings (0.39× baseline)2024-04-01: 24 filings (1.31× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (0.25× baseline)2024-06-01: 10 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-07-01: 31 filings (2.33× baseline)2024-08-01: 22 filings (0.94× baseline)2024-09-01: 8 filings (0.30× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.09× baseline)2024-11-01: 14 filings (0.78× baseline)2024-12-01: 24 filings (1.36× baseline)2025-01-01: 26 filings (1.07× baseline)2025-02-01: 18 filings (0.96× baseline)2025-03-01: 17 filings (0.74× baseline)2025-04-01: 21 filings (1.15× baseline)2025-05-01: 17 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-06-01: 32 filings (1.81× baseline)2025-07-01: 28 filings (2.10× baseline)2025-08-01: 17 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-09-01: 17 filings (0.65× baseline)2025-10-01: 25 filings (1.17× baseline)2025-11-01: 22 filings (1.22× baseline)2025-12-01: 22 filings (1.25× baseline)2026-01-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 17 filings (170.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 34.9% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10.

Housing insecurity runs 27.1% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.3 points above the Franklin County average of 4.4. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,052 filings here across 13 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 13.2% of renter households.

In a typical year about 11.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39049006945

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049006945?

Census tract 39049006945 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39049006945?

Median gross rent is $1,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39049006945?

27.4% of residents in tract 39049006945 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,406.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39049006945?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 86th, minority 87th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 39049006945 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049006945 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049006945?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,052 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049006945 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.63% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39049006945 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39049006945 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39049006945 compare to Columbus overall?

Tract 39049006945 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Columbus

Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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