Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Martin's Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain

Tract 39093097202 · Lorain County, OH · pop 5,454 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Martin's Run neighborhood of Lorain centers on tract 39093097202, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,454 residents. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,088 a month while the average household earns $80,211 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 16% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units2,230

Renter share25.6%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate15.4%

Median income$80,211

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorain and the region

Centroid at 41.4290, -82.2207 · click any tract to drill in

Why Martin's Run scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lorain

5.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

15.4% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,088 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lorain

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lorain

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lorain

8.0

How Martin's Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.8%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
14.1%Food insecurity
11.0%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
9.4%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
32.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Martin's Run

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lorain eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093097202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093097202?

Census tract 39093097202 in the Martin's Run neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39093097202?

Median gross rent is $1,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093097202?

15.4% of residents in tract 39093097202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,454.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093097202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 75th, minority 54th, housing 38th.

Is tract 39093097202 considered part of Martin's Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093097202 fall within Martin's Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39093097202 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39093097202 compare to Lorain overall?

Tract 39093097202 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lorain

Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.